It is misleading to claim there is a transition away from fossil fuels, the numbers show that renewable sources are stacked on top of existing fossil energy use. Since fossil fuel extraction is still growing (though net energy is declining exponentially, but it’s not counted in the primary energy use, which is gross), the overall fraction as a first approximation remains roughly constant.
Also, without primary energy use there would be no renewable sources. As such current renewables are extenders of fossil energy use, which is clearly useful, but they’re not self-sustaining, nevermind they’re not helpful in keeping the industrial society alive – which is ok, since it’s doomed, anyway.
Primary is a misleading measure when it comes to the transition away from fossil fuels — it tends to over-count fossil fuels and under-count renewables because the bulk of primary energy from fossil fuels is wasted.
For this reason, final energy consumption is the right comparison. I don’t think that there’s a single good source for it though.
It is misleading to claim there is a transition away from fossil fuels, the numbers show that renewable sources are stacked on top of existing fossil energy use. Since fossil fuel extraction is still growing (though net energy is declining exponentially, but it’s not counted in the primary energy use, which is gross), the overall fraction as a first approximation remains roughly constant.
Also, without primary energy use there would be no renewable sources. As such current renewables are extenders of fossil energy use, which is clearly useful, but they’re not self-sustaining, nevermind they’re not helpful in keeping the industrial society alive – which is ok, since it’s doomed, anyway.
For California? Overall fossil fuel use is dropping. Not as fast as we need, but still dropping
Unfortunately, decoupling isn’t real https://www.artberman.com/blog/decoupling-dumb-and-dumber/
The bulk of the change in California comes from electric generation changes. And it includes out of state generation.