• 0 Posts
  • 1.19K Comments
Joined 3 years ago
cake
Cake day: July 23rd, 2023

help-circle
  • This is what fake smart people look like

    let’s start with the Ideal Gas Law

    You didn’t even explain the gas law let alone prove that temperature was the factor

    Next, statistical analysis of Tom Brady’s passing metrics indicate he plays better with higher inflated balls, not lower.

    People do unethical things because they think it will benefit them. You didn’t even prove it didn’t benefit him you just asserted it based on…

    . Notable is that he had better numbers in the second half of the Colts game, after the refs “properly inflated the balls” than in the first half.

    This… isn’t a meaningful sample. It’s impossible to draw any conclusion from it. The fact that you think you can indicates that you don’t understand statistics or analysis.


  • Businesses can and do shave their margins, eating some percentage of the cost of tariffs, in order to keep their bulk exports competitive. You’re just not going to see that happen on a one-off specialty import,

    Eh no. The simplification that the customer pays is for practical purposes basically correct. There is little will to shave margins when industries and nations are broadly effected, insufficient margins to absorb much, and little reason even bother to do so save to preserve future business with the expectation that tariffs will be dropped.

    What you are seeing sometimes is markets operating on coyote time. Goods are already purchases/imported. Goods are purchased on contracts that don’t account for tariffs screwing the importer. Tariffs are applied then yanked before prices have to adjust. When they haven’t there is suspicion that they will soon be based on prior TACO behavior and future expectation is that much profit at prior margins will be lost if not carefully managed.

    Long term you will absolutely see prices rise to cover 100% of the .

    What Trump’s doing has absolutely reversed the flow of manufacturer outsourcing.

    How much actual work vs future commitments again?






  • None of what you listed was because of “public pressure” all of it was changed by a tiny minority with most of the money. Almost all substantial changes of any variety are going to require a constitutional amendment which in the US requires 2/3 of states to agree to propose it and 3/4 of them. Red states and the agenda they want enacted would be impaired by almost any positive change as would be the money spigot funding literally everyone in power now. We could have 37 states representing 90% of the population on board and be held back by weirdos in Idaho who want an American Nazi party.

    We are basically in the same position we were prior to the American revolutionary war which notably could not be fixed without conflict either just like the nazis trying to pwn the world couldn’t be fixed without conflict. We are already building and filling concentration camps and have stopped paying for medical care at what will become death camps as of last October.



  • Your government is fundamentally different than ours. Given 2 large entrenched parties which are nearly equal in a system which is winner take all at every stage of the game any third party which gets any substantial portion of the vote splits the vote with whatever party it is most like ensuring its opposition wins.

    EG imagine you wanted to grow say the green party in given district which is 51% Dem 49% Republican. If it were to wildly successful it would need to grow from 1% to a plurality organically probably over several or even many election seasons. It is unlikely to get many Republican votes because Republicans have solidarity and its positions are substantially different so by the time the green party has grown to 3% of the vote its throwing every election to the Republicans. This continues to be true at 30% because 90% of its votes come from the left. At some point you would reach changeover and become the defacto left wing party but by that time you will have found the state has gerrymandered your district to the point where you can’t win and all the money essentially millions of dollars in legal bribes is still flowing to the now minority party.

    This is literally impossible to fix at the ballot box by people voting for third parties. This is why for example the green party has existed for 40 years and in all that time has never elected anyone to federal office and has in only a handful of cases held a state office wherein they run and stay green.

    The US system is designed to make this impractical and it has only become more so with intensely parties making getting votes from both sides increasingly ridiculous. Anyone you would want to elect is going to have to take a stand against essentially the American nazi party in power now.


  • We have 2 entrenched parties. The Republicans have about half the vote. If we fracture the vote on the left even a little bit then we lose. EG for example suppose we WOULD win with 51% of the vote suppose we convince 90% of the would be democrats to vote green.

    The vote is now 45.9 Green 5.1 Dem 49% Republican aaaaand we now lose for the next 100 years. This is actually the optimistic case. Even if you get a green candidate who satisfies literally everyone on the left some will KNOW this can’t fuckin work and yell at the defectors and some will dislike anything left of the dems and refuse to move so you probably get closer to 26% one and 25% the other. If carried out broadly enough you would hand an unstoppable super majority to the other side which they will use to fix it so your vote is suppressed forever.

    You can’t just vote third party you have to first reform the system. The most basic plausible move is instant runoff or something similar at the state level.









  • Failure to actively oppose at the polls is tacit support,

    25% of the population were under 18 during the election they cannot be said to tacitly support trump.

    22% of people voted directly for Harris they directly opposed trump.

    This alone is 47% of the population! This alone disproves your 2/3 narrative!

    30% of the pop by not voting did not cast a tacit vote for Trump. Few countries have 100% voter turnout in any free country. A sane mathematical treatment of the situation is to assume that a sufficiently large sample is representative OR to ask people.

    If 48% of voters voted for Trump we assume 48% of those who were adults in 2024 are responsible or 36% or we can ask people if they support Trump and we get 39%.

    Most in the US aren’t for our modern day nazis


  • Functional people don’t punch their teacher in the face because they don’t have enough to eat. He may have had low blood sugar AND a behavioral or mental issue that needs to be addressed.

    At minimum I would expect a letter from the kid as to what they did was wrong and an apology from both parents and kid. I would expect an offer to pay for the glasses. I would expect the kid to be punished severely. A good example would be selling the kids ps5 to pay for the glasses and not getting him another console this year and making him spend his free time doing unpleasant chores for a month with no outings or rewards of any kind.

    This is both non-violent, moral, memorable, directly exemplifies the direct connection between wrongdoing and restitution. It doesn’t assign blame to a condition as if being hungry forced him to punch his teacher in the face.